1. Market Overview
As of April 3, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is trading at 83,429.7 USDT, showing a daily gain of approximately +1.15%.
While a short-term technical rebound is underway, selling pressure remains strong at higher levels. With recent macroeconomic factors such as U.S. tariff policies and global stock market volatility, the crypto market is mixed, and Bitcoin is standing at a critical point for mid-term trend reversal.
2. Detailed Moving Average Analysis (Daily Chart)
- 5-day MA (~83,500): Turning upward. Price is holding above it, indicating short-term buying strength.
- 10-day MA (~84,300): Slight downward slope, acting as near-term resistance.
- 20-day MA (~85,200): Key trendline for medium-term. Breakout needed for trend reversal confirmation.
- 60-day MA (~86,800): Previous rebounds were rejected near this level.
- 120-day MA (~88,100): Strong long-term resistance. A breakout here could signal a complete trend reversal.
Summary: Price is supported by the 5-day MA but faces strong resistance at the 10- and 20-day MAs. A confirmed breakout above 85,200 is crucial for sustained upward momentum.
3. Stochastic-Based Wave Energy Analysis (Multi-Timeframe)
1H
4H
1D
Summary
| Timeframe | %K / %D | Interpretation | Wave Energy Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H | 40.18 / 59.46 | Rebounding from oversold | Short-term bullish wave in progress |
| 4H | 54.21 / 69.38 | Turning down from overbought | Mid-term correction or pause |
| 1D | 25.57 / 29.10 | Attempting golden cross in oversold | Early signs of long-term reversal |
4. Combined Technical Interpretation
Bitcoin currently shows bullish short-term momentum (1H), potential mid-term correction (4H), and early signs of long-term reversal (1D).
1H and 1D are aligned to the upside, indicating growing momentum. However, the 4H chart suggests potential consolidation or profit-taking after the recent overbought phase.
From the moving average perspective, price support from the 5-day MA is evident, but breakouts above the 10-day (~84,300) and especially the 20-day MA (~85,200) are key signals for a broader trend shift.
5. Trading Strategy
● Long (Buy) Setup
- Entry Zone: 83,200 – 83,500 USDT
- Targets:
- 1st: 84,800
- 2nd: 86,500
- 3rd: 88,100
- Stop-loss: 82,000 USDT
- Rationale:
- 1D stochastic forming golden cross from oversold
- 1H stochastic confirms short-term upside
- Price holding above 5-day MA with buying interest
- Breakout above 10D/20D MAs could accelerate trend
● Short (Sell) Setup
- Entry Zone: 84,800 – 85,000 USDT
- Targets:
- 1st: 83,200
- 2nd: 82,000
- Stop-loss: 85,600 USDT
- Rationale:
- 4H stochastic turning down from overbought
- Key resistance zone aligned with 20-day MA
- Potential for near-term correction or pullback
6. Summary Table
| Item | Description |
|---|---|
| Current Price | 83,429.7 USDT |
| Short-Term Trend | Bullish (1H) |
| Mid-Term Trend | Neutral / Pullback Risk (4H) |
| Long-Term Trend | Early Reversal Signal (1D) |
| Key Resistance | 84,800 / 85,200 / 88,100 USDT |
| Key Support | 83,000 / 82,000 / 80,942 USDT |
7. Investment Disclaimer
This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. All trading decisions are the responsibility of the investor. Always use appropriate risk management.
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